NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

Why Pickswise Is The Home Of The Best Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2023 Season

There are just 18 weeks in the NFL regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, but NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sport amongst bettors. Our expert handicappers have decades of industry experience where they have honed in on their craft to provide the best insight, analysis, and value picks here at Pickswise. All of our NFL picks are completely free, including our picks straight up, and against the spread.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, NFL Parlays, NFL Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a bet type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to have a diverse range and bet on anything they feel is a value pick. Here at Pickswise, we’ll have something for everyone with our team of handicappers leaving no stone unturned ahead of every game in 2023.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect.

For Example

Philadelphia Eagles -7 – Philadelphia must win by 8 or more points to cover the spread.
Chicago Bears +7 – Chicago must win, or lose by 6 or fewer points to cover the spread.
Tie Scenario – If the game ended 27-20 to Philadelphia, the spread would be a tie, or a push and stakes would be returned.

A fun stat worth noting is that the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

Another exciting way to still get in on the NFL action is with total wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. Already since sports betting has been legalized we’ve seen many occasions where a hail mary, missed FG or XP has cost over or unders bettors, so be prepared to be in for the long haul with your totals bets. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in every game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread. Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of bettors like to keep it simple and take our expert NFL Money Line picks.

2023-24 NFL Schedule

This will be the 104th season in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on September 7th, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs, who host the Detroit Lions. The regular season will come to a conclusion on January 7th, 2024 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 13th & 14th of January 2024. Super Bowl LVIII is scheduled for February 11th, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada, the home of the Arizona Cardinals.

NFL Picks This Week

You can find our latest NFL picks by week, all season long below:

Weekly NFL Picks
NFL Week 1 PicksNFL Week 2 Picks
NFL Week 3 PicksNFL Week 4 Picks
NFL Week 5 PicksNFL Week 6 Picks
NFL Week 7 PicksNFL Week 8 Picks
NFL Week 9 PicksNFL Week 10 Picks
NFL Week 11 PicksNFL Week 12 Picks
NFL Week 13 PicksNFL Week 14 Picks
NFL Week 15 PicksNFL Week 16 Picks
NFL Week 17 PicksNFL Week 18 Picks
NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks
NFL Divisional Round Picks
NFL Conference Championship Picks

Our NFL Football picks contain a pick on each of the three major markets available on NFL games, those being the money line, point spreads and points totals. These NFL Football picks will come alongside full analysis and the latest stats and trends to consider when betting and our confidence rating in those picks. You can also head to our NFL Football Best Bets page for the top plays on the week. Or looking for alternative football picks? then head to our College Football Picks page, where you’ll find the same level of coverage and expertise from the Pickswise handicapping team.

More Than Just NFL Football Picks

We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (1)

Statistical Approach to NFL Picks

It’s our goal to provide you with the best NFL picks in the market. Our expert handicappers are all specially selected and assessed prior to joining the team to ensure their analysis. experience and results are among the best in the industry. Each capper will put hours of research into each pick and many have built statistical models to find their moneyline, spread and over/under picks so you don’t have to. Check out all of our cappers’ free NFL picks here every week of the season.

Andrew Wilsher, Pickswise Managing Editor

NFL Picks Against The Spread - Free Football Picks | Pickswise (2024)

FAQs

What is the most accurate NFL prediction site? â€ș

Dimers.com is the best site for NFL predictions. Dimers gives 🏈 fans the tools, computer analysis and expert data to excel at NFL betting in 2024.

What is the best site to get free sports picks? â€ș

Covers provides free picks covering the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, CFL, WNBA, college sports, and more. We make picks on many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.

How do you pick against the spread in the NFL? â€ș

For example, if the stronger team, or favorite, is a perceived six points better than a weaker team, the stronger will be given an NFL bet spread of -6.5. This means to “cover the spread” and win the bet, that team must win by more than six points.

How do you beat the spread in football? â€ș

To cover the spread, a bettor must either bet on the favorite or the underdog, and to win their wager, the team must cover the point spread—or, win by more than the point spread. Betting the point spread is one of the most popular sports betting methods, along with money line bets, and over/under (total) bets.

What is the most accurate football prediction site? â€ș

EaglePredict is the best football prediction site in the world with over 89.9% accuracy rate in our football betting tips.

Who is the best NFL bettor? â€ș

Top NFL Cappers this Season by Profit
RankHandicapperWin PCT
1Totals Guru63.8%
2ASA64.3%
3Jack Jones59.1%
4Ray Monohan57.7%
23 more rows

What is the best site for free NFL picks? â€ș

Bookies.com is the place to find all your NFL betting tips. From NFL expert picks and analysis to game previews and betting strategy, the talented team at Bookies goes deeper than anyone else to provide everything you need for betting on the best league in sports.

What is the free winning prediction site? â€ș

MeritPredict is the best football prediction website in the world. Meritpredict makes it easier for punters and football bettors to win their games. we provide accurate football prediction for free to visitors to help them win their bets.

Where is the best place to get football picks? â€ș

Pickswise is the best place to get free expert NFL picks. We have the best cappers and NFL picks on the market and you can get all of our NFL picks for free! every week.

What is the against the spread strategy? â€ș

“Against the spread” refers to betting on a team to perform better than the point spread set by the sportsbook. They must either win by a margin greater than the spread (for favorites) or lose by fewer points than the spread (for underdogs) for the bet to be successful.

How do you pick winners against the spread? â€ș

This means that if you want to bet on the top pick, they have to win the game by a margin greater than the spread for you to win. Conversely, if you're rooting for the weaker team, they either need to win outright or lose by fewer points than the spread. This betting method gives you more options to play with.

Who sets the spread in football? â€ș

A point spread, or simply “the spread”, is a sports betting number made by oddsmakers at sportsbooks that serves as a handicap between two opponents. Because not all teams are equal in skill, oddsmakers use spread betting to level the playing field.

How accurate are NFL spreads? â€ș

Point spreads are chosen to be maximally difficult to beat, so even a success rate of 5% above a baseline would be considered a success. It has been said by certain professional sports bettors that one should not expect more than approximately 60% accuracy in betting, so this is the figure that we will strive towards.

How often do teams beat the spread? â€ș

Over the past 10 seasons, NFL regular-season favorites have gone 1206-1303-62 against the spread. That's a 48% win clip. Bettors who bet every single favorite over that time period would have a -5.9% ROI.

What is a good winning percentage against the spread? â€ș

A win rate of around 52-53% can be enough to break even, but to make a profit, you may need a win rate of 55-60% or higher depending your strategy. It's also important to have a solid understanding of sports betting and bankroll management.

What is the best winning football prediction app? â€ș

  1. Eagle Predict App. Eaglepredict app is a free-to-use website that provides In-Depth football analysis, odds, and data on the top and bottom divisions of football leagues across Europe and other nations, as well as significant competitions. ...
  2. Sofascore. ...
  3. FotMob. ...
  4. FlashScore. ...
  5. Livescore. ...
  6. Whoscored.
Apr 14, 2023

How to predict football games accurately? â€ș

Experts predicts based on following points.
  1. Current form of team.
  2. Form of players.
  3. Playing conditions (Home or away match)
  4. Injuries and previous record against opponent.
  5. Ground records(ie, if ground has low goal scoring ratio then you can't predict who would be a goal scorer).
  6. Past records against rival club.
Nov 26, 2023

What is the website for football analysis prediction? â€ș

Mybets Today provides mathematical football predictions generated by an algorithm, we work hard to maintain this reputation by making this a great experience. We are best online source for soccer predictions updated daily for your convenience.

What is the oldest football prediction site? â€ș

SoccerVista.com was established in 1999. This site provides daily football predictions for free, including in-depth analysis and statistics for each match.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Recommended Articles
Article information

Author: Sen. Emmett Berge

Last Updated:

Views: 6079

Rating: 5 / 5 (60 voted)

Reviews: 91% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Sen. Emmett Berge

Birthday: 1993-06-17

Address: 787 Elvis Divide, Port Brice, OH 24507-6802

Phone: +9779049645255

Job: Senior Healthcare Specialist

Hobby: Cycling, Model building, Kitesurfing, Origami, Lapidary, Dance, Basketball

Introduction: My name is Sen. Emmett Berge, I am a funny, vast, charming, courageous, enthusiastic, jolly, famous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.